Breaking: Nonfarm Payrolls rise by 254,000 in September vs. 140,000 forecast
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose by 254,000 in September, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday.
NonFarm Payrolls
Job growth picks up in September with Nonfarm Payrolls rising 254,000
US jobs report post-release checklist – October 4
US jobs report pre-release checklist – October 4
July US JOBS REPORT REVIEW
Breaking: US Nonfarm Payrolls rise 114,000 in July vs. 175,000 expected
|Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose 114,000 in July, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday. This reading followed the 179,000 increase (revised from 206,000) recorded in June and fell short of the market expectation of 175,000.
June US JOBS REPORT REVIEW
Breaking: US Nonfarm Payrolls rise 206,000 in June vs. 190,000 expected
|Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose 206,000 in June, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday. This reading followed the 218,000 increase (revised from 272,000) recorded in May and came in above the market expectation of 190,000.
May US JOBS REPORT REVIEW
Breaking: US Nonfarm Payrolls rise 272,000 in May vs. 185,000 expected
|Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US rose 272,000 in May, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday. This reading followed the 165,000 increase (revised from 175,000) recorded in April and came in above the market expectation of 185,000.
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Editors' picks
EUR/USD breaks below 1.1000 on stellar NFP
The buying bias in the Greenback gathers extra pace on Friday after the US economy created far more jobs than initially estimated in September, dragging EUR/USD to the area of new lows near 1.0950.
GBP/USD breaches 1.3100 after encouraging US Payrolls
The continuation of the uptrend in the US Dollar motivates GBP/USD to accelerates its losses and breaches 1.3100 the figure in the wake of the release of US NFP.
Gold rebounds from daily lows and flirts with $2,670
Following a post-NFP dip to the $2,640 region, Gold prices now embarks on an acceptable rebound and retest the area of $2,670 per ounce troy despite the marked advance in the US Dollar and rising US yields across the board.
US Payrolls surge in September, as 50bp rate cut ruled out
US payrolls data surprised on the upside in September, rising by 254k, smashing expectations of a 150k rise. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%, average hourly earnings increased to a 4% YoY rate and there was a 72k upwards revision to the previous two months’ payrolls numbers.
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures
The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.
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BIG PICTURE
The NFP report: The most important economic indicator for the US
NFP Definition
NonFarm Payrolls report measures the number of jobs added or lost in the US economy over the last month. It is released usually on the first Friday of each month, at 8:30 EST. It is published by the US Department of Labor.
This report is important because the US is the largest economy in the world and its currency (US Dollar) is the global reserve currency. The many economies peg (tie) their currency's value to the reserve currency, many commodities such as gold and oil are priced in terms of the reserve currency and the local economy's debt is priced in terms of its own currency.
The NFP report, because of its importance to the reserve currency, tends to move all markets: currencies, equities, treasuries, interest rates and also commodities. It does it so immediately after the release of the economic data and sometimes so dramatically.
US Departament of Labor
The mission of the DOL is to assure the prosperity of the wage earners, job seekers which includes more than 10 million employers and 125 million workers in the USA. 180 federal laws and several federal regulations are the key of the Departament Labor promotion of benefits and rights.
Non-Farm Payrolls: Which brokers could keep it tight?
During NFP data release, spreads first fall apart and recover slowly afterwards as market calms down.
NFP: The Fundamental Giant
The Non Farm Payrolls report is arguably one of biggest market movers in the Forex. Since the NFP report is scheduled this coming week, I thought it would be good for us to take a closer look at this fundamental giant.
To Trade...
Those who advocate trading NFP releases base their advice on a previous preparation and some fundamental research. The elaboration of some macroeconomical analysis is essential for successful trading.
This research includes averages of past headline NFP numbers, Weekly Jobless Claims, ISM Industry Data reports or other employment reports as the ADP or the Challenger. Tracking these events is fundamental on the preparation of the trades to set up just after the release. You can check all this data on FXStreet Economic Calendar: ADP Report, Initial Jobless Claims, ISM Industry Data.
... Or Not to Trade
A lot more skeptical on the benefits of trading the event, as you can read in his article “Step aside the NonFarm Payrolls release”, Adrián Aquaro, President at Trader College, says its importance has decreased a little bit lately:
“Even if the impact has diminished gradually over time, still generates huge attention on the markets and it normally drives important monthly trends. Lately another event (the Fed Monetary Policy Meetings) has been driving similar attention, thanks mainly to the Interest Rates being at 0%.”
What is a NonFarm Payrolls Forecast?
A NonFarm Payrolls Forecast is some sentiment-based piece of content that tries to predict what the NFP numbers will be and what impact will they have on the markets. In this page, you'll find some articles and tools that will help you to understand which could be the outlook for ADP Report, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, Labor Force Participation Rate and some other important economic indicators.
The ADP (National Employment Report) is an estimation of nonfarm employment which is based on a survey of thousands of private sector businesses. One of the biggest differences between NFP data and ADP data is the sample and methodology of the study. ADP Jobs Report could show us an anticipation of the NFP's trends. Some outlooks are mainly based on the Jobs Report, in past data and in other related job indicators like Initial/Continuing Jobless Claims.